Federal Judge Rejects CFTC Request in Wisconsin Prediction Market Case
Court allows Wisconsin's legal action against prediction market operators to continue while the wider case moves forward

Ryan Cauchi
Editor · August 3, 2026

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has suffered an early setback in its legal fight with Wisconsin after a federal judge declined to block the state's enforcement action against several prediction market operators.
The ruling allows Wisconsin to continue pursuing its lawsuits against platforms including Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase and Crypto.com, while the court considers the wider question of whether federal or state authorities have the final say over prediction markets.
Judge Keeps Wisconsin's Case Alive
The CFTC had asked the court to issue a preliminary injunction that would have stopped Wisconsin from enforcing its gambling laws against federally regulated prediction market platforms while the federal case was ongoing.
However, the judge declined that request, meaning the state's lawsuits can continue for now. The decision does not determine who will ultimately win the case, but it does give Wisconsin the green light to keep pressing its claims while the legal process continues.
Federal and State Powers Remain at the Centre of the Case
The CFTC argues that prediction markets fall under the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA), giving the federal regulator exclusive authority over event contracts listed on CFTC regulated exchanges.
Wisconsin disagrees, maintaining that sports event contracts offered to residents are effectively a form of gambling and should therefore be subject to state gaming laws and enforcement.
The disagreement shows a larger legal battle that has unfolded across several U.S. states as regulators continue to question where prediction markets fit within existing gambling and financial regulations.
Another Important Test for Prediction Markets
The Wisconsin case has become one of the most closely watched legal challenges involving prediction markets.
A ruling in favour of the CFTC could strengthen the federal government's position that event contracts fall under its jurisdiction. A victory for Wisconsin, meanwhile, could encourage other states to take similar action against prediction market operators.
With lawsuits also ongoing in New York, Washington, Massachusetts and other states, the courts are expected to play an increasingly important role in shaping the future of prediction markets across the United States.
Stay tuned to UMG Gaming for the latest news, analysis and updates from the world of prediction markets, sports betting and iGaming.